With Group B leaders Spain not involved in any World Cup Qualification (WCQ) action during the October window, second-placed Sweden have a chance to move top of the group by winning their two games in hand at home against Kosovo and Greece. Having earned their largest winning margin since the start of 2020 in the last H2H (W 3-0), they’ll be confident of progressing to a W4, L1 record courtesy of another victory here.
Currently ranked the 18th best nation by FIFA, the hosts are just one win away from equalling their most victories obtained in a calendar year since 2001. That started with a strong defeat of Croatia in the UEFA Nations League since which Sweden have built a seven-game winning streak on home soil, establishing a half-time lead ‘to nil’ on all but one occasion.
Kosovo worked their way to their best ever FIFA ranking (109, up from 115) with some outstanding performances in September, taking points from two of three WCQ games as underdogs (W1, D1). The visitors have in fact held their own on the road in recent times, taking points home from the majority of their competitive away games (W3, D5, L5) since 2018.
To further highlight their impressive improvement, Kosovo have not suffered a three-goal defeat since their meeting with Sweden in March – eight matches ago. The absence of the hosts’ legendary Zlatan Ibrahimović – sidelined with a knee injury – should help the away side in their bid to keep that streak running here, where it feels like it’s win or bust for Kosovo’s slim World Cup 2022 ambitions.
He is in line for his third international cap after scoring in five of his last six matches for Coventry City, including four opening goals
He has established himself as an international specialist, with his last seven career goals being earned in national colours.
11 of the last 12 matches involving either nation (chronologically) have been either drawn or decided by a one-goal margin.
Considering the statistic listed above, I would try the handicap bet.
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