Spain v France

Two thoroughly entertaining UEFA Nations League (UNL) semi-finals have lifted Spain and France, two of the last three World Cup winners, into this UNL showpiece, and a chance to battle each other in the first H2H clash in a major final since 1984. One-quarter of a century after facing off as rival midfielders in the 1996 Euros, either Didier Deschamps or Luis Enrique will win their first UEFA silverware as a national team manager.


Spain avenged their Euro 2020 knockout defeat to Italy in their UNL semi-final on Thursday, ending the Azzurri’s record 37-game unbeaten run in the process, and could be birthing a new generation of title winning footballers after their glory years of 2008-2012.Nonetheless, and despite just one loss over their last 18 games (in 90 mins), that semi-final victory was a fifth consecutive knockout match (in any competition) in which Spain failed to keep a clean sheet. That only reaffirms the burden on their attacking unit, which has been held to one or no goals in four of their seven UNL 2020-21 fixtures, but does offer the rare prospect of goals in a major final against an attacking France side that have their own defensive issues.


Those issues were on display in France’s semi-final, but a brilliant second-half comeback saw them beat Belgium 3-2 and confirmed their place in Sunday’s showpiece event at the San Siro in Milan. That’s helped ‘Les Bleus’ to recover somewhat after their shock exit at Euro 2020, and a record of just one defeat in regulation time over their last 28 games highlights the continued strength of this France squad, although their win against Belgium was just their second win from their last seven starts as favourites.


Pablo Sarabia is the only Spanish player other than Ferran Torres to score in three internationals since the beginning of the Euro 2020 finals, whilst France’s Karim Benzema has been his team’s first goalscorer in a remarkable four of his last five appearances for club or country.


All but one of the last 11 finals in a UNL or Euros has produced fewer than 2.5 total goals (excluding extra time), as have the last seven H2Hs.


Ferran Torres to score Any Time @3.66

Spain to win First Half @3.50

Belgium v France

The match between Belgium and France is a match between the heavyweights of European football. Both national teams come from a disappointing Euro 2020 but, with this competition, they have the opportunity to take revenge in particular Belgium who would like to avenge the defeat in the 2018 World Cup semifinals suffered by the French.


The goal of Martinez’s men will undoubtedly be to win the trophy. In fact, Belgium is still the only national team in history to be in first place in the ranking not to have forfeited any important trophy.
The “Red Devils” come to this tournament after having won 5 of their last six games (1 draw), scoring 16 goals.


Didier Deschamps after the exit in the round of 16 of Euro 2020 against Switzerland has seen a slow recovery of him (2 draws and 1 victory in the World Cup Qualifiers). However, he has a comforting record from him: France has not lost an official with Belgium since September 1981!
The journey in UNL was also very comforting, spiced with 5 wins and only 1 draw in an iron group with Croatia and Portugal.


Lukaku (BEL)

He has contributed to 4 goals in his last 2 games (3 goals-1 assists)

Benzema (FRA)

If Karim scores, France can be “calm”. In the 24 games in which he scored his country he recorded 22 wins and 2 draws!


The over 0.5 in the first half has occurred 16 times in Belgium’s last 18 international matches!


Belgium will have to win. The elimination of Italy will give more confidence to Martinez’s men who in my opinion are superior to Spain. Pogba for the transalpines could give a show given the rumors that they want him ever closer to Juventus. I would bet like this:

Pogba Scorer Yes
Correct Score 2-2 (has not occurred since 1986!)